Begin with one finite-precision observation
Suppose position has a Gaussian prior with mean and variance . The detector returns , with independent error variance . Bayes’ rule multiplies the prior by the likelihood: the chance of obtaining that readout at each possible position.
Add the two Gaussian exponents and complete the square. The posterior weights a sharp observation more strongly and retains more of a sharp prior when the detector is noisy. This calculation uses the readout and its error model.
Take many small updates
Write , with conditional mean and symmetrized covariance . Vector selects position. Keep , and from Chapter 5.
A short-time average has detector variance . Expand the Gaussian update to first order in time and add free evolution and diffusion. The observation minus its prediction is the innovation. Only this newly acquired information shifts the estimate.
Source locations: Jacobs & Steck · Rossi et al.
Narrow states can have widely scattered centres
Mix the conditional states from many independent records to recover the state obtained when the record is ignored. Its width combines uncertainty inside each conditional state and variation between their centres. Plotting only the first can make localization look like cooling of the entire ensemble.
Worked example without dynamics: take prior mean zero, variance and detector variance . Reading gives mean and variance . Across repetitions the readout variance is three, so posterior means have variance . The sum restores two.
Interpret the trajectory
A conditional quantum trajectory is the evolution of given the observation history. It does not assign the mirror a hidden path with exact simultaneous position and momentum. A Gaussian state has a positive Wigner function; phase-space samples can generate the same observation statistics and serve as a numerical representation.
A physical covariance must also satisfy . Narrowing position requires accounting for the conjugate component, correlations and lost information. A finite-step integrator should preserve this condition and converge as its step decreases.
Rossi and colleagues checked their forward estimates against estimates inferred from later observations. Validating the state represented by a filter requires this additional statistical comparison.
Source locations: Rossi et al.